Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,246$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(489 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,198.9}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,198.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $103$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(16.9 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.3}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.0)}}\) (asimptote \(103.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $66$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $37,814$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.88 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(24.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,930.5}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 60.9)}}\) (asimptote \(39,930.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,403$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(472 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,372.1}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 44.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,372.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $28,440$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,446$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.35 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,136.5}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 31.6)}}\) (asimptote \(8,136.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $236$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(59.8 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{230.8}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 29.1)}}\) (asimptote \(230.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $483$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,885$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(934 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,854.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 47.8)}}\) (asimptote \(6,854.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $318$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(49.7 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{314.5}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 35.1)}}\) (asimptote \(314.5\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,067$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,899$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.19 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,657.6}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 40.6)}}\) (asimptote \(11,657.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $576$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(127 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{562.3}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 32.0)}}\) (asimptote \(562.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $713$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,806$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(591 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(47.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.7}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.7\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(3.85 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,517$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(9.93 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{56,566.7}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 40.9)}}\) (asimptote \(56,566.7\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,486$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(1.59 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,170.9}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.3)}}\) (asimptote \(9,170.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,112$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $277,736$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.72 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{278,348.1}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 51.5)}}\) (asimptote \(278,348.1\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $39,127$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(5.06 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{37,460.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 42.3)}}\) (asimptote \(37,460.7\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $237,388$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $233,197$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(4.63 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{227,008.0}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 42.2)}}\) (asimptote \(227,008.0\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,475$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(5.77 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,419.0}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 44.2)}}\) (asimptote \(32,419.0\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $41,367$ on 2020-06-01
